Particle Model Predictive Control: Tractable Stochastic Nonlinear Output-Feedback MPC
Martin A. Sehr, Robert R. Bitmead

TL;DR
This paper introduces a particle-based stochastic nonlinear output-feedback Model Predictive Control method that combines particle filtering with the Scenario Approach to improve computational tractability in nonlinear stochastic control.
Contribution
It presents a novel integration of particle filtering and scenario-based optimization for nonlinear stochastic MPC, enhancing tractability and applicability.
Findings
The method effectively propagates conditional densities using particle filters.
The approach is compatible with scenario generation for control optimization.
Numerical results show the impact of sampling configurations on solution quality and computational effort.
Abstract
We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback Model Predictive Control. Conditional densities given noisy measurement data are propagated via the Particle Filter as an approximate implementation of the Bayesian Filter. This enables a particle-based representation of the conditional state density, or information state, which naturally merges with scenario generation from the current system state. This approach attempts to address the computational tractability questions of general nonlinear stochastic optimal control. The Particle Filter and the Scenario Approach are shown to be fully compatible and -- based on the time- and measurement-update stages of the Particle Filter -- incorporated into the…
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