Convex hulls of random walks: Expected number of faces and face probabilities

TL;DR

This paper derives distribution-free formulas for the expected number of faces and face probabilities of convex hulls formed by random walks with exchangeable increments, generalizing classical results and involving reflection group symmetries.

Contribution

It provides explicit, distribution-free formulas for face counts and probabilities of convex hulls of random walks, extending classical one-dimensional results to higher dimensions.

Findings

Expected number of faces given by a formula involving Stirling numbers

Explicit face probability formulas for specific index sets

Results are distribution-free and relate to reflection group symmetries

Abstract

Consider a sequence of partial sums $S_i= \xi_1+\dots+\xi_i$, $1\leq i\leq n$, starting at $S_0=0$, whose increments $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$ are random vectors in $\mathbb R^d$, $d\leq n$. We are interested in the properties of the convex hull $C_n:=\mathrm{Conv}(S_0,S_1,\dots,S_n)$. Assuming that the tuple $(\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n)$ is exchangeable and a certain general position condition holds, we prove that the expected number of $k$-dimensional faces of $C_n$ is given by the formula $$ \mathbb E [f_k(C_n)] = \frac{2\cdot k!}{n!} \sum_{l=0}^{\infty}\genfrac{[}{]}{0pt}{}{n+1}{d-2l} \genfrac{\{}{\}}{0pt}{}{d-2l}{k+1}, $$ for all $0\leq k \leq d-1$, where $\genfrac{[}{]}{0pt}{}{n}{m}$ and $\genfrac{\{}{\}}{0pt}{}{n}{m}$ are Stirling numbers of the first and second kind, respectively. Further, we compute explicitly the probability that for given indices $0\leq i_1<\dots <i_{k+1}\leq n$, the points $S_{i_1},\dots,S_{i_{k+1}}$ form a $k$-dimensional face of $\mathrm{Conv}(S_0,S_1,\dots,S_n)$. This is done in two different settings: for random walks with symmetrically exchangeable increments and for random bridges with exchangeable increments. These results generalize the classical one-dimensional discrete arcsine law for the position of the maximum due to E. Sparre Andersen. All our formulae are distribution-free, that is do not depend on the distribution of the increments $\xi_k$'s. The main ingredient in the proof is the computation of the probability that the origin is absorbed by a joint convex hull of several random walks and bridges whose increments are invariant with respect to the action of direct product of finitely many reflection groups of types $A_{n-1}$ and $B_n$. This probability, in turn, is related to the number of Weyl chambers of a product-type reflection group that are intersected by a linear subspace in general position.