On the critical probability in percolation
Svante Janson, Lutz Warnke

TL;DR
This paper investigates the critical probability in percolation on finite transitive graphs, confirming a proposed characterization using the susceptibility's logarithmic derivative on Erdős-Rényi graphs and clarifying the location of its maximum.
Contribution
It validates Nachmias and Peres's characterization of critical probability for Erdős-Rényi graphs and refutes a previous speculation about the maximizer's location.
Findings
The logarithmic derivative's maximizer is inside the critical window p=1/n+Θ(n^{-4/3}).
The inverse of the maximum value matches the critical window's width.
The maximizer is not at p=1/n or p=1/(n-1), contradicting earlier speculation.
Abstract
For percolation on finite transitive graphs, Nachmias and Peres suggested a characterization of the critical probability based on the logarithmic derivative of the susceptibility. As a first test-case, we study their suggestion for the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph G_{n,p}, and confirm that the logarithmic derivative has the desired properties: (i) its maximizer lies inside the critical window p=1/n+\Theta(n^{-4/3}), and (ii) the inverse of its maximum value coincides with the \Theta(n^{-4/3})-width of the critical window. We also prove that the maximizer is not located at p=1/n or p=1/(n-1), refuting a speculation of Peres.
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