Relativistic orbits around spinning supermassive black holes. Secular evolution to 4.5 post-Newtonian order
Clifford M. Will, Matthew Maitra

TL;DR
This paper derives detailed equations for the long-term evolution of stellar orbits around spinning black holes, incorporating high-order relativistic effects and analyzing their implications for gravitational wave signals and orbital plunges.
Contribution
It provides the first comprehensive 4.5PN order secular evolution equations for generic orbits around spinning black holes, including spin effects and radiation reaction, with applications to astrophysical scenarios.
Findings
Orbital evolution equations valid for arbitrary eccentricities and inclinations.
Rapid black hole spin can significantly suppress gravitational wave flux in retrograde orbits.
Analytic approximation for the time to plunge based on initial orbital parameters.
Abstract
We derive the secular evolution of the orbital elements of a stellar-mass object orbiting a spinning massive black hole. We use the post-Newtonian approximation in harmonic coordinates, with test-body equations of motion for the conservative dynamics that are valid through 3PN order, including spin-orbit, quadrupole and (spin) effects, and with radiation-reaction contributions linear in the mass of the body that are valid through 4.5PN order, including the 4PN damping effects of spin-orbit coupling. The evolution equations for the osculating orbit elements are iterated to high PN orders using a two-timescale approach and averaging over orbital timescales. We derive a criterion for terminating the orbit when its Carter constant drops below a critical value, whereupon the body plunges across the event horizon at the next closest approach. The results are valid for arbitrary…
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