Gamma-ray Novae: Rare or Nearby?
Paul J. Morris, Garret Cotter, Anthony M. Brown, Paula M. Chadwick

TL;DR
This paper investigates whether gamma-ray novae are intrinsically rare or simply nearby, using population modeling and Galactic distribution assumptions to explain the observed gamma-ray detection rate.
Contribution
The study introduces a population simulation approach that accounts for Galactic distribution and reddening, suggesting gamma-ray novae are more common and nearby than previously thought.
Findings
Gamma-ray novae are likely nearby and not intrinsically rare.
A rudimentary Galactic model reproduces the observed gamma-ray nova fraction.
Classical novae within 8 kpc and brighter than magnitude 12 are detectable in gamma-rays.
Abstract
Classical Novae were revealed as a surprise source of gamma-rays in Fermi LAT observations. During the first 8 years since the LAT was launched, 6 novae in total have been detected to > 5 sigma in gamma-rays, in contrast to the 69 discovered optically in the same period. We attempt to resolve this discrepancy by assuming all novae are gamma-ray emitters, and assigning peak one-day fluxes based on a flat distribution of the known emitters to a simulated population. To determine optical parameters, the spatial distribution and magnitudes of bulge and disc novae in M31 are scaled to the Milky Way, which we approximate as a disc with a 20 kpc radius and elliptical bulge with semi major axis 3 kpc and axis ratios 2:1 in the xy plane. We approximate Galactic reddening using a double exponential disc with vertical and radial scale heights of r_d = 5 kpc and z_d = 0.2 kpc, and demonstrate that…
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