A singular mutation in the hemagglutinin of the 1918 pandemic virus

TL;DR

This paper investigates a rare mutation in the hemagglutinin of the 1918 influenza virus, suggesting its potential role in the pandemic's severity and its importance for future monitoring to prevent similar outbreaks.

Contribution

It identifies a unique amino acid mutation in the 1918 hemagglutinin that may have contributed to the virus's lethality and highlights its significance for pandemic prediction.

Findings

Gly188 mutation is extremely rare in hemagglutinin sequences.

The mutation is likely deleterious and located in a key receptor binding motif.

Monitoring this mutation could aid in pandemic prevention.

Abstract

The influenza pandemic of 1918-1919 killed at least 50 million people. The reasons why this pandemic was so deadly remain largely unknown. However, It has been shown that the 1918 viral hemagglutinin allows to reproduce the hallmarks of the illness observed during the original pandemic. Thanks to the wealth of hemagglutinin sequences accumulated over the last decades, amino-acid substitutions that are found in the 1918-1919 sequences but rare otherwise can be identified with high confidence. Such an analysis reveals that Gly188, which is located within a key motif of the receptor binding site, is so rarely found in hemagglutinin sequences that, taken alone, it is likely to be deleterious. Monitoring this singular mutation in viral sequences may help prevent another dramatic pandemic.