Using Gaussian processes to model light curves in the presence of flickering: the eclipsing cataclysmic variable ASASSN-14ag
M. J. McAllister, S. P. Littlefair, V. S. Dhillon, T. R. Marsh, R. P., Ashley, M. C. P. Bours, E. Breedt, L. K. Hardy, J. J. Hermes, S., Kengkriangkrai, P. Kerry, S. Rattanasoon, D. I. Sahman

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel Gaussian process-based method for modeling flickering in cataclysmic variable star light curves, improving the accuracy of system parameter estimation.
Contribution
The study develops and applies a Gaussian process approach to eclipse modeling, effectively accounting for flickering noise in CV light curves, which enhances parameter determination accuracy.
Findings
Accurately determined system parameters of ASASSN-14ag
Demonstrated Gaussian processes effectively model flickering noise
Improved eclipse modeling methodology for CV stars
Abstract
The majority of cataclysmic variable (CV) stars contain a stochastic noise component in their light curves, commonly referred to as flickering. This can significantly affect the morphology of CV eclipses and increases the difficulty in obtaining accurate system parameters with reliable errors through eclipse modelling. Here we introduce a new approach to eclipse modelling, which models CV flickering with the help of Gaussian processes (GPs). A parameterised eclipse model - with an additional GP component - is simultaneously fit to 8 eclipses of the dwarf nova ASASSN-14ag and system parameters determined. We obtain a mass ratio = 0.149 0.016 and inclination = 83.4 . The white dwarf and donor masses were found to be = 0.63 0.04 and = 0.093 , respectively. A white dwarf temperature…
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