The HII Galaxy Hubble Diagram Strongly Favors $R_{\rm h}=ct$ over $\Lambda$CDM

TL;DR

This study uses high-redshift HII galaxies as standard candles to compare cosmological models, finding strong statistical support for the $R_{h}=ct$ universe over the $\Lambda$CDM model.

Contribution

It demonstrates that the $R_{h}=ct$ model is statistically favored over $\Lambda$CDM using HII galaxy data and model selection criteria.

Findings

$R_{h}=ct$ is favored with ~95% likelihood over $\Lambda$CDM.

The $\Lambda$CDM best-fit parameter $\Omega_m$ is around 0.40.

Current data already rules out $\Lambda$CDM at nearly 3$\sigma$ confidence.

Abstract

We continue to build support for the proposal to use HII galaxies (HIIGx) and giant extragalactic HII regions (GEHR) as standard candles to construct the Hubble diagram at redshifts beyond the current reach of Type Ia supernovae. Using a sample of 25 high-redshift HIIGx, 107 local HIIGx, and 24 GEHR, we confirm that the correlation between the emission-line luminosity and ionized-gas velocity dispersion is a viable luminosity indicator, and use it to test and compare the standard model $\Lambda$CDM and the $R_{\rm h}=ct$ Universe by optimizing the parameters in each cosmology using a maximization of the likelihood function. For the flat $\Lambda$CDM model, the best fit is obtained with $\Omega_{\rm m}= 0.40_{-0.09}^{+0.09}$. However, statistical tools, such as the Akaike (AIC), Kullback (KIC) and Bayes (BIC) Information Criteria favor $R_{\rm h}=ct$ over the standard model with a likelihood of $\approx 94.8\%-98.8\%$ versus only $\approx 1.2\%-5.2\%$. For $w$CDM (the version of $\Lambda$CDM with a dark-energy equation of state $w_{\rm de}\equiv p_{\rm de}/\rho_{\rm de}$ rather than $w_{\rm de}=w_{\Lambda}=-1$), a statistically acceptable fit is realized with $\Omega_{\rm m}=0.22_{-0.14}^{+0.16}$ and $w_{\rm de}= -0.51_{-0.25}^{+0.15}$ which, however, are not fully consistent with their concordance values. In this case, $w$CDM has two more free parameters than $R_{\rm h}=ct$, and is penalized more heavily by these criteria. We find that $R_{\rm h}=ct$ is strongly favored over $w$CDM with a likelihood of $\approx 92.9\%-99.6\%$ versus only $0.4\%-7.1\%$. The current HIIGx sample is already large enough for the BIC to rule out $\Lambda$CDM/$w$CDM in favor of $R_{\rm h}=ct$ at a confidence level approaching $3\sigma$.