An Abstract Model of Historical Processes
Michael Poulshock

TL;DR
This paper introduces an abstract theoretical model simulating social power struggles, where agents interact over time with probabilistic outcomes influenced by social inertia and strategic choices.
Contribution
It presents a novel abstract framework for modeling social power dynamics, incorporating influence, strategic behavior, and social inertia in a probabilistic setting.
Findings
Model captures complex social power interactions
Outcomes are probabilistic and influenced by social inertia
Provides a basis for future empirical validation
Abstract
A theoretical model is presented which provides a way to simulate, at a very abstract level, power struggles in the social world. In the model, agents can benefit or harm each other, to varying degrees and with differing levels of influence. The agents interact over time, using the power they have to try to get more of it, while being constrained in their strategic choices by social inertia. The outcomes of the model are probabilistic. More research is needed to determine whether the model has any empirical validity.
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