A formula for crossing probabilities of critical systems inside polygons
Steven M. Flores, Jacob J. H. Simmons, Peter Kleban, Robert M. Ziff

TL;DR
This paper generalizes crossing probability formulas for critical systems inside polygons, extending Cardy's work to loop-gas models and related cluster models, with predictions validated by high-precision simulations.
Contribution
It introduces a new formula for crossing probabilities in loop-gas models on polygons, connecting to FK and Potts models, and validates predictions with simulations for Q=2,3,4.
Findings
Predictions match simulations well for Q=2,3.
Reasonable agreement for Q=4.
Generalizes crossing formulas to polygonal domains.
Abstract
In this article, we generalize known formulas for crossing probabilities. Prior crossing results date back to J. Cardy's prediction of a formula for the probability that a percolation cluster in two dimensions connects the left and right sides of a rectangle at the percolation critical point in the continuum limit. Here, we predict a new formula for crossing probabilities of a continuum limit loop-gas model on a planar lattice inside a -sided polygon. In this model, boundary loops exit and then re-enter the polygon through its vertices, with exactly one loop passing once through each vertex, and these loops join the vertices pairwise in some specified connectivity through the polygon's exterior. The boundary loops also connect the vertices through the interior, which we regard as a crossing event. For particular values of the loop fugacity, this formula specializes to FK cluster…
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