Non-Markovian random walks with memory lapses
Manuel Gonz\'alez-Navarrete, Rodrigo Lambert

TL;DR
This paper introduces Bernoulli sequences with random dependence (BSRD), modeling non-Markovian random walks with memory lapses, and establishes classical limit theorems including a generalized central limit theorem.
Contribution
It proposes a novel framework for constructing dependent Bernoulli sequences with memory lapses and proves classical limit theorems for this new class.
Findings
Established a central limit theorem for BSRD.
Characterized the memory lapses property in non-Markovian walks.
Provided examples illustrating potential applications.
Abstract
We propose an approach to construct Bernoulli trials combining dependence and independence periods, and call it Bernoulli sequence with random dependence (BSRD). The structure of dependence, on the past , {defines} a class of non-Markovian random walks of recent interest in the literature. In this paper, the dependence is activated by an auxiliary collection of Bernoulli trials , called {\it memory switch sequence}. We introduce the concept of {\it memory lapses property}, which {is} characterized by intervals of consecutive independent steps in BSRD. The main results include classical limit theorems for a class of linear BSRD. In particular, we obtain a central limit theorem for a class of BSRD which generalizes some previous results in literature. Along the paper, several examples of potential applications are provided.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and statistical mechanics · Stochastic processes and financial applications · Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
