On the average size of independent sets in triangle-free graphs
Ewan Davies, Matthew Jenssen, Will Perkins, Barnaby Roberts

TL;DR
This paper establishes tight bounds on the average size and total number of independent sets in triangle-free graphs with bounded degree, using the hard-core model, with implications for Ramsey theory.
Contribution
It provides the first asymptotically tight bounds on the expected size and count of independent sets in triangle-free graphs, connecting statistical physics models to combinatorial graph properties.
Findings
Expected size of a random independent set is at least $(1+o_d(1)) \frac{\log d}{d}n$.
Total number of independent sets is at least $\exp[(\frac{1}{2}+o_d(1)) \frac{\log^2 d}{d}n$.
Results are tight, exemplified by random $d$-regular graphs.
Abstract
We prove an asymptotically tight lower bound on the average size of independent sets in a triangle-free graph on vertices with maximum degree , showing that an independent set drawn uniformly at random from such a graph has expected size at least . This gives an alternative proof of Shearer's upper bound on the Ramsey number . We then prove that the total number of independent sets in a triangle-free graph with maximum degree is at least . The constant in the exponent is best possible. In both cases, tightness is exhibited by a random -regular graph. Both results come from considering the hard-core model from statistical physics: a random independent set drawn from a graph with probability proportional to , for a fugacity parameter…
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