ctsmr - Continuous Time Stochastic Modeling in R
Rune Juhl, Jan Kloppenborg M{\o}ller, Henrik Madsen

TL;DR
ctsmr is an R package that enables the construction and estimation of continuous-time stochastic models for multivariate time series data, facilitating grey-box modeling of physical systems.
Contribution
The paper introduces ctsmr, a comprehensive R package for modeling and estimating continuous-time stochastic systems using maximum likelihood and Kalman filtering.
Findings
Successfully models physical phenomena with multivariate data
Demonstrates estimation of embedded parameters in stochastic models
Provides practical examples showcasing ctsmr's capabilities
Abstract
ctsmr is an R package providing a general framework for identifying and estimating partially observed continuous-discrete time gray-box models. The estimation is based on maximum likelihood principles and Kalman filtering efficiently implemented in Fortran. This paper briefly demonstrates how to construct a Continuous Time Stochastic Model using multivariate time series data, and how to estimate the embedded parameters. The setup provides a unique framework for statistical modeling of physical phenomena, and the approach is often called grey box modeling. Finally three examples are provided to demonstrate the capabilities of ctsmr.
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Taxonomy
TopicsNeural Networks and Applications · Forecasting Techniques and Applications
