Thin annuli property and exponential distribution of return times for Weakly Markov systems
{\L}ukasz Pawelec, Mariusz Urba\'nski, Anna Zdunik

TL;DR
This paper proves that for a broad class of weakly Markov dynamical systems, the distribution of first return times to shrinking neighborhoods converges to an exponential law, solving longstanding problems in geometric measure theory.
Contribution
It introduces the Thick Thin Annuli Property and Full Thin Annuli Property, enabling the proof of exponential distribution convergence for various complex and conformal dynamical systems.
Findings
Distribution of return times converges to exponential law.
Established the Thick Thin Annuli Property for weakly Markov systems.
Proved convergence for all radii in conformal iterated function systems.
Abstract
We deal with the problem of asymptotic distribution of first return times to shrinking balls under iteration generated by a large general class of dynamical systems called weakly Markov. Our ultimate main result is that these distributions converge to the exponential law when the balls shrink to points. We apply this result to many classes of smooth dynamical systems that include conformal iterated function systems, rational functions on the Riemann sphere , and transcendental meromorphic functions on the complex plane . We also apply them to expanding repellers and holomorphic endomorphisms of complex projective spaces. One of the key ingredients in our approach is to solve the well known, in this field of mathematics, problem of appropriately estimating the measures of, suitably defined, large class of geometric annuli. We successfully do it. This…
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