Learning theory estimates with observations from general stationary stochastic processes

TL;DR

This paper develops a unified theoretical framework for analyzing supervised learning algorithms with data from a wide class of stationary stochastic processes, establishing convergence rates and oracle inequalities.

Contribution

It introduces a generalized Bernstein-type inequality to analyze learning schemes with various mixing processes, deriving near-optimal convergence rates for multiple models.

Findings

Optimal learning rates for i.i.d. data recovered

Matching rates for certain mixing processes

Near-optimal rates for remaining cases

Abstract

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that when the stochastic processes satisfy a generalized Bernstein-type inequality, a unified treatment on analyzing the learning schemes with various mixing processes can be conducted and a sharp oracle inequality for generic regularized empirical risk minimization schemes can be established. The obtained oracle inequality is then applied to derive convergence rates for several learning schemes such as empirical risk minimization (ERM), least squares support vector machines (LS-SVMs) using given generic kernels, and SVMs using Gaussian kernels for both least squares and quantile regression. It turns out that for i.i.d.~processes, our learning rates for ERM recover the optimal rates. On the other hand, for non-i.i.d.~processes including geometrically $\alpha$-mixing Markov processes, geometrically $\alpha$-mixing processes with restricted decay, $\phi$-mixing processes, and (time-reversed) geometrically $\mathcal{C}$-mixing processes, our learning rates for SVMs with Gaussian kernels match, up to some arbitrarily small extra term in the exponent, the optimal rates. For the remaining cases, our rates are at least close to the optimal rates. As a by-product, the assumed generalized Bernstein-type inequality also provides an interpretation of the so-called "effective number of observations" for various mixing processes.