Brightness variation distributions among main belt asteroids from sparse light curve sampling with Pan-STARRS 1
A. McNeill, A. Fitzsimmons, R. Jedicke, R. Wainscoat, L. Denneau, P., Veres, E. Magnier, K.C. Chambers, N. Kaiser, C. Waters

TL;DR
This study analyzes brightness variations in about 60,000 main belt asteroids from Pan-STARRS 1 data, revealing size-dependent patterns and inferring physical properties like shape and spin axis orientations.
Contribution
It introduces a large-scale analysis of asteroid brightness changes and models their physical characteristics based on sparse light curve sampling.
Findings
Smaller asteroids exhibit less brightness variation.
Estimated asteroid shape ratios suggest elongated shapes with axial ratios around 1:0.85:0.71.
Larger asteroids tend to have spin axes perpendicular to their orbital planes.
Abstract
The rotational state of asteroids is controlled by various physical mechanisms including collisions, internal damping and the Yarkovsky-O'Keefe-Radzievskii-Paddack (YORP) effect. We have analysed the changes in magnitude between consecutive detections of approximately 60,000 asteroids measured by the PanSTARRS 1 survey during its first 18 months of operations. We have attempted to explain the derived brightness changes physically and through the application of a simple model. We have found a tendency toward smaller magnitude variations with decreasing diameter for objects of 1 < D < 8 km. Assuming the shape distribution of objects in this size range to be independent of size and composition our model suggests a population with average axial ratios 1 : 0.85 \pm 0.13 : 0.71 \pm 0.13, with larger objects more likely to have spin axes perpendicular to the orbital plane.
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