The role of atmospheric greenhouse gases, orbital parameters, and southern ocean gateways: an idealized model study

TL;DR

This study uses idealized climate model experiments to investigate how atmospheric CO2 decline, ocean gateway opening, and orbital changes collectively and individually influence past climate transitions, especially Antarctic glaciation.

Contribution

It provides a systematic analysis of the combined and separate effects of three key climate forcings using idealized coupled climate model simulations.

Findings

All three forcings contribute to cooling in southern high latitudes.

The combination of forcings triggers a climate transition resembling Antarctic glaciation.

Orbital parameter changes have a strong impact depending on obliquity variation.

Abstract

A set of idealized experiments are performed to analyze the competing effects of declining atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the opening of an ocean gateway, and varying orbital parameters. These forcing mechanisms, which influence the global mean climate state, may have played a role for triggering climate transitions of the past (for example during the Eocene-Oligocene climate transition and the build-up of the Antarctic Ice Sheet). Sensitivity simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model are conducted to test these three forcings and their roles for the global climate. The simulations are carried out under idealized conditions to focus on the essentials. The combination of all three forcings triggers a climate transition which resembles the onset of the Antarctic glaciation. In particular, the temperatures in the southern high latitudes decrease and snow accumulates constantly. Moreover, the relative importance of each possible forcing is explored. All three of the mechanisms (atmospheric CO2 decrease, opening of the ocean gateways, and changing orbital parameters) cool the climate of the southern polar continent. The change induced by the orbital parameters depends strongly on the magnitude of the change in obliquity.