Sensitivity Analysis and Statistical Convergence of a Saltating Particle Model
S. Maldonado, A. G. L. Borthwick

TL;DR
This paper presents a simple stochastic saltation model validated against experimental data, analyzing its convergence, sensitivity to parameters, and estimating bed load transport rates with results aligning well with empirical formulas.
Contribution
It introduces a validated, efficient numerical saltation model with systematic convergence criteria and empirical formula comparisons, advancing sediment transport modeling.
Findings
At least 10^3 hops are needed for convergence; 10^4 for statistical stability.
The lift force dependent on slip velocity and flow gradient yields more stable results.
The model's bed load transport estimates agree with empirical flume data.
Abstract
Saltation models provide considerable insight into near-bed sediment transport. This paper outlines a simple, efficient numerical model of stochastic saltation, which is validated against previously published experimental data on saltation in a channel of nearly horizontal bed. Convergence tests are systematically applied to ensure the model is free from statistical errors emanating from the number of particle hops considered. Two criteria for statistical convergence are derived; according to the first criterion, at least hops appear to be necessary for convergent results, whereas saltations seem to be the minimum required in order to achieve statistical convergence in accordance with the second criterion. Two empirical formulae for lift force are considered: one dependent on the slip (relative) velocity of the particle multiplied by the vertical gradient of the horizontal…
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