A Systematic Chandra study of Sgr A$^{\star}$: I. X-ray flare detection
Qiang Yuan (UMASS), Q. Daniel Wang (UMASS)

TL;DR
This study systematically analyzes 13 years of Chandra X-ray observations of Sgr A* to detect and characterize 82 flares, revealing no long-term variation in quiescent emission or flare rate, and highlighting short-term clustering of flares.
Contribution
It introduces a novel combination of statistical methods for flare detection that accounts for pile-up effects and provides a comprehensive analysis of flare properties over 14 years.
Findings
Detected 82 X-ray flares, including faint ones previously unseen.
Found no significant long-term variation in quiescent emission or flare rate.
Identified short-term clustering of flares on 20-70 ks timescales.
Abstract
Daily X-ray flaring represents an enigmatic phenomenon of Sgr A --- the supermassive black hole at the center of our Galaxy. We report initial results from a systematic X-ray study of this phenomenon, based on extensive {\it Chandra} observations obtained from 1999 to 2012, totaling about 4.5 Ms. We detect flares, using a combination of the maximum likelihood and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, which allow for a direct accounting for the pile-up effect in the modeling of the flare lightcurves and an optimal use of the data, as well as the measurements of flare parameters, including their uncertainties. A total of 82 flares are detected. About one third of them are relatively faint, which were not detected previously. The observation-to-observation variation of the quiescent emission has an average root-mean-square of , including the Poisson statistical fluctuation…
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