Around Sylvester's question in the plane
Jean-Fran\c{c}ois Marckert

TL;DR
This paper investigates the probability that randomly chosen points form a convex polygon within a convex set, proving inequalities for five points and introducing a new formula that could extend these results to any number of points.
Contribution
The paper introduces a new formula for the probability of convex polygons from random points, advancing the understanding of geometric probability inequalities.
Findings
Proved inequalities for five points in convex sets.
Developed a new formula for the probability $Q^n_H$.
Showed Steiner symmetrization and shaking affect $Q^n_H$ in predictable ways.
Abstract
Pick points uniformly and independently at random in a compact convex set with non empty interior of the plane, and let be the probability that the 's are the vertices of a convex polygon. Blaschke 1917 \cite{Bla} proved that , where is a disk and a triangle. In the present paper we prove . One of the main ingredients of our approach is a new formula for which permits to prove that Steiner symmetrization does not decrease , and that shaking does not increases it (this is the method Blaschke used in the case). We conjecture that the new formula we provide will lead in the future to the complete proof that , for any .
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