Women 1.5 Times More Likely to Leave STEM Pipeline After Calculus Compared to Men: Lack of Mathematical Confidence a Potential Culprit
Jessica Ellis, Bailey Fosdick, and Chris Rasmussen

TL;DR
This study reveals that women are 1.5 times more likely than men to leave the STEM pipeline after calculus, primarily due to lower mathematical confidence rather than ability, highlighting a critical retention issue.
Contribution
It identifies mathematical confidence as a key factor in women's attrition from calculus, providing new insights into gender disparities in STEM pathways.
Findings
Women report lower understanding of calculus material than men.
Women with above-average abilities still have lower confidence than men.
Increasing calculus retention could nearly double women's entry into STEM.
Abstract
The substantial gender gap in the science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) workforce can be traced back to the underrepresentation of women at various milestones in the career pathway. Calculus is a necessary step in this pathway and has been shown to often dissuade people from pursuing STEM fields. We examine the characteristics of students who begin college interested in STEM and either persist or switch out of the calculus sequence after taking Calculus I, and hence either continue to pursue a STEM major or are dissuaded from STEM disciplines. The data come from a unique, national survey focused on mainstream college calculus. Our analyses show that, while controlling for academic preparedness, career intentions, and instruction, the odds of a woman being dissuaded from continuing in calculus is 1.5 times greater than that for a man. Furthermore, women report they do…
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