Evidence of a planetary influence on solar activity: Phase coherence of the variation in sunspot area with the tidal effect of Mercury

TL;DR

This study provides evidence that Mercury's tidal effects influence sunspot activity, showing phase coherence with sunspot periodicities at 88 and 176 days, suggesting a planetary impact on solar phenomena.

Contribution

The paper demonstrates a correlation between Mercury's tidal effects and specific sunspot periodicities, proposing a planetary influence mechanism on solar activity not previously established.

Findings

Sunspot area components at 88 and 176 days are in-phase or anti-phase with Mercury's tidal variation.

Spectral peaks in sunspot data can be modeled by episodes modulated by Mercury's orbital periods.

Strong spectral sidebands depend on the duration of episodic sunspot activity.

Abstract

There have been numerous reports of quasiperiodicities in solar activity in the intermediate period range. However, no accepted explanation for the episodic occurrence of quasiperiodicities has emerged. This paper examines the possibility that the periodicities are associated with a Mercury Sun interaction of base period 88 days. To test this idea we band pass filter the 140 year long daily sunspot area data to obtain the 88 day period and 176 day sub harmonic period components of the data and compare the time variation of the components with the time variation of the orbital radius of Mercury, or more specifically with the time variation of the tidal effect of Mercury. We were able to show that, when successive episodes of the occurrence of the 88 day period component were discrete and not overlapping in time, the time variation of this component of sunspot area was either exactly in-phase or exactly in anti-phase with the time variation of tidal effect. A similar result was obtained for the 176 day period component. When several discrete episodes of the components occurred during a solar cycle the spectrum of the sunspot area data exhibited strong sidebands with periods dependent on the duration of the episodes. A simple model based on episode modulation and solar cycle modulation of 88 day and sub harmonic period sinusoids reproduced most of the spectral peaks observed in the intermediate range of sunspot area periodicity. This is compelling evidence of a link between the motion of Mercury and the periodic emergence of sunspots. It is proposed that the link involves magnetic surface waves with mode periods close to the sub harmonic periods associated with Mercury and the triggering of sunspot emergence by the waves.