What future for the Anthropocene? A biophysical perspective

TL;DR

This paper examines the future trajectory of the Anthropocene from a biophysical perspective, suggesting its current defining phenomena may decline within a century, but human influence could persist through alternative energy dissipation methods.

Contribution

It provides a biophysical analysis of the Anthropocene's potential evolution and limits, highlighting the possible transition to different forms of human-environment interaction.

Findings

Current Anthropocene phenomena may decline in about a century

Irreversible dispersal of fossil carbon potentials leads to decline

Future human influence may persist via solar energy dissipation methods

Abstract

The Anthropocene is a proposed time subdivision of the earth's history correlated to the strong human perturbation of the ecosystem. Much debate is ongoing about what date should be considered as the start of the Anthropocene, but much less on how it can evolve in the future and what are its ultimate limits. It is argued here that the phenomena currently defining the Anthropocene will rapidly decline and disappear in times of the order of one century as a result of the irreversible dispersal of the thermodynamic potentials associated to fossil carbon. However, it is possible that, in the future, the human economic system may catalyze the dissipation of solar energy in forms other than photosynthesis, e.g. using solid state photovoltaic devices. In this case, a strong human influence on the ecosystem may persists for much longer times, but in forms very different than the present ones.