A Counterexample to Monotonicity of Relative Mass in Random Walks
Oded Regev, Igor Shinkar

TL;DR
This paper provides a counterexample in a Cayley graph showing that the relative mass function in a continuous-time random walk can decrease, challenging the assumption of monotonicity suggested by prior conjectures.
Contribution
The authors construct a specific Cayley graph and vertices demonstrating that the ratio of probabilities is not always non-decreasing, answering a question posed by Peres in 2013.
Findings
Counterexample disproves monotonicity of relative mass in certain graphs
Shows that the ratio function can decrease over time
Addresses a long-standing open question in random walk theory
Abstract
For a finite undirected graph , let denote the probability that a continuous-time random walk starting at vertex is in at time . In this note we give an example of a Cayley graph and two vertices for which the function \[ r_{u,v}(t) = \frac{p_{u,v}(t)}{p_{u,u}(t)} \qquad t \geq 0 \] is not monotonically non-decreasing. This answers a question asked by Peres in 2013.
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