Measuring the Direction and Angular Velocity of a Black Hole Accretion Disk via Lagged Interferometric Covariance
Michael D. Johnson, Abraham Loeb, Hotaka Shiokawa, Andrew A. Chael,, and Sheperd S. Doeleman

TL;DR
This paper proposes a novel interferometric method to determine the direction and angular velocity of accretion flows around black holes, using lagged covariance analysis, with potential application to EHT observations of Sagittarius A*.
Contribution
It introduces a new technique using lagged covariance in interferometry to measure flow direction and velocity in turbulent black hole accretion disks, validated with GRMHD simulations.
Findings
Lagged covariance peaks reveal flow direction and angular velocity.
Method robustly estimates flow direction even at moderate inclinations.
Potential to improve black hole imaging and break inclination degeneracies.
Abstract
We show that interferometry can be applied to study irregular, rapidly rotating structures, as are expected in the turbulent accretion flow near a black hole. Specifically, we analyze the lagged covariance between interferometric baselines of similar lengths but slightly different orientations. For a flow viewed close to face-on, we demonstrate that the peak in the lagged covariance indicates the direction and angular velocity of the emission pattern from the flow. Even for moderately inclined flows, the covariance robustly estimates the flow direction, although the estimated angular velocity can be significantly biased. Importantly, measuring the direction of the flow as clockwise or counterclockwise on the sky breaks a degeneracy in accretion disk inclinations when analyzing time-averaged images alone. We explore the potential efficacy of our technique using three-dimensional, general…
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