Cats & Co: Categorical Time Series Coclustering

TL;DR

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian data grid model for clustering categorical time series data, enabling effective exploration and interpretation of temporal event sequences through nonparametric joint distribution estimation.

Contribution

The paper presents a new 3D coclustering method based on data grid models for categorical time series, with a parameter-free Bayesian approach for optimal grid selection.

Findings

Efficient and effective clustering of categorical time series.

Discovery of meaningful temporal event patterns.

Versatile visualization and interpretation tools.

Abstract

We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented as a data set of three-dimensional points, each point is defined by three variables: a sequence identifier, a time value and an event value. Instantiating data grid models to the 3D-points turns the problem into 3D-coclustering. The sequences are partitioned into clusters, the time variable is discretized into intervals and the events are partitioned into clusters. The cross-product of the univariate partitions forms a multivariate partition of the representation space, i.e., a grid of cells and it also represents a nonparametric estimator of the joint distribution of the sequences, time and events dimensions. Thus, the sequences are grouped together because they have similar joint distribution of time and events, i.e., similar distribution of events along the time dimension. The best data grid is computed using a parameter-free Bayesian model selection approach. We also suggest several criteria for exploiting the resulting grid through agglomerative hierarchies, for interpreting the clusters of sequences and characterizing their components through insightful visualizations. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world data sets demonstrate that data grid models are efficient, effective and discover meaningful underlying patterns of categorical time series data.