Bayesian kernel-based system identification with quantized output data
Giulio Bottegal, Gianluigi Pillonetto, H{\aa}kan Hjalmarsson

TL;DR
This paper presents a Bayesian kernel-based approach for linear system identification using quantized output data, leveraging Gaussian processes and MCMC methods to improve estimation accuracy over existing techniques.
Contribution
It introduces a novel Bayesian framework with a stable spline kernel for quantized data, employing an efficient Gibbs sampler for system identification.
Findings
Significant accuracy improvement over state-of-the-art methods
Effective use of Gaussian process priors with quantized outputs
Fast convergence of the proposed Gibbs sampler
Abstract
In this paper we introduce a novel method for linear system identification with quantized output data. We model the impulse response as a zero-mean Gaussian process whose covariance (kernel) is given by the recently proposed stable spline kernel, which encodes information on regularity and exponential stability. This serves as a starting point to cast our system identification problem into a Bayesian framework. We employ Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to provide an estimate of the system. In particular, we show how to design a Gibbs sampler which quickly converges to the target distribution. Numerical simulations show a substantial improvement in the accuracy of the estimates over state-of-the-art kernel-based methods when employed in identification of systems with quantized data.
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