Supersampling and network reconstruction of urban mobility

TL;DR

This paper introduces a supersampling method to accurately extrapolate urban mobility patterns from limited data, demonstrating stability in mobility patterns and providing metrics to assess data quality, thus aiding urban planning and epidemiology.

Contribution

It presents a novel supersampling methodology for urban mobility data, enabling reliable extrapolation from limited samples and introducing metrics to evaluate model quality.

Findings

Mobility patterns are stable after simple rescaling.

Sampling biases can be mitigated with the proposed null model.

The supersampling approach effectively extrapolates mobility data.

Abstract

Understanding human mobility is of vital importance for urban planning, epidemiology, and many other fields that aim to draw policies from the activities of humans in space. Despite recent availability of large scale data sets related to human mobility such as GPS traces, mobile phone data, etc., it is still true that such data sets represent a subsample of the population of interest, and then might give an incomplete picture of the entire population in question. Notwithstanding the abundant usage of such inherently limited data sets, the impact of sampling biases on mobility patterns is unclear -- we do not have methods available to reliably infer mobility information from a limited data set. Here, we investigate the effects of sampling using a data set of millions of taxi movements in New York City. On the one hand, we show that mobility patterns are highly stable once an appropriate simple rescaling is applied to the data, implying negligible loss of information due to subsampling over long time scales. On the other hand, contrasting an appropriate null model on the weighted network of vehicle flows reveals distinctive features which need to be accounted for. Accordingly, we formulate a "supersampling" methodology which allows us to reliably extrapolate mobility data from a reduced sample and propose a number of network-based metrics to reliably assess its quality (and that of other human mobility models). Our approach provides a well founded way to exploit temporal patterns to save effort in recording mobility data, and opens the possibility to scale up data from limited records when information on the full system is needed.