What is the probability of a thermodynamical transition?
\'Alvaro M. Alhambra, Jonathan Oppenheim, Christopher Perry

TL;DR
This paper investigates the probability of thermodynamic state transitions in finite systems, deriving bounds and introducing thermodynamic monotones, with implications for entanglement transformations.
Contribution
It introduces a framework to compute maximum transition probabilities and bounds for finite systems, extending thermodynamic and entanglement theory understanding.
Findings
Maximum transition probability can be achieved for block-diagonal states.
Bounds on transition probability are expressed in terms of work.
Thermodynamic monotones related to thermo-majorization are introduced.
Abstract
If the second law of thermodynamics forbids a transition from one state to another, then it is still possible to make the transition happen by using a sufficient amount of work. But if we do not have access to this amount of work, can the transition happen probabilistically? In the thermodynamic limit, this probability tends to zero, but here we find that for finite-sized systems, it can be finite. We compute the maximum probability of a transition or a thermodynamical fluctuation from any initial state to any final state, and show that this maximum can be achieved for any final state which is block-diagonal in the energy eigenbasis. We also find upper and lower bounds on this transition probability, in terms of the work of transition. As a bi-product, we introduce a finite set of thermodynamical monotones related to the thermo-majorization criteria which governs state transitions, and…
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