A two-parameter criterion for classifying the explodability of massive stars by the neutrino-driven mechanism
T. Ertl (1,2), H.-Th. Janka (1), S.E. Woosley (3), T. Sukhbold (3),, and M. Ugliano (4) ((1) MPI Astrophysics, Garching, (2) Physik Dept., TUM,, Garching, (3) UC Santa Cruz, (4) TU Darmstadt)

TL;DR
This study introduces a two-parameter criterion based on pre-collapse stellar structure that accurately predicts whether massive stars will undergo successful neutrino-driven supernova explosions or collapse into black holes.
Contribution
The paper identifies and validates two structural parameters, M4 and mu4, that effectively classify the explodability of massive stars, improving predictive accuracy over previous single-parameter methods.
Findings
Two parameters, M4 and mu4, classify explodability with ~98% accuracy.
The parameters relate directly to the mass-infall rate and neutrino luminosity.
The criterion is validated on 621 stellar models.
Abstract
Thus far, judging the fate of a massive star (either a neutron star (NS) or a black hole) solely by its structure prior to core collapse has been ambiguous. Our work and previous attempts find a non-monotonic variation of successful and failed supernovae with zero-age main-sequence mass, for which no single structural parameter can serve as a good predictive measure. However, we identify two parameters computed from the pre-collapse structure of the progenitor, which in combination allow for a clear separation of exploding and non-exploding cases with only few exceptions (~1-2.5%) in our set of 621 investigated stellar models. One parameter is M4, defining the normalized enclosed mass for a dimensionless entropy per nucleon of s=4, and the other is mu4 = d(m/M_sun)/d(r/1000 km) at s=4, being the normalized mass-derivative at this location. The two parameters mu4 and M4*mu4 can be…
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