The intensity of the random variable intercept in the sector of negative probabilities
Marcin Makowski, Edward W. Piotrowski, Jan S{\l}adkowski, Jacek Syska

TL;DR
This paper investigates the measurement intensity of a random variable with negative probabilities, applying quantum-inspired methods to economic market anomalies like Giffen's goods, and proposes a novel optimization strategy.
Contribution
It introduces a new approach to analyze negative probabilities in markets using a fixed point method and proposes the rebours strategy for optimization.
Findings
The rebours strategy shows effectiveness in optimizing measurement intensity.
Negative probabilities can model market anomalies such as Giffen's goods.
The method bridges quantum probability concepts with economic analysis.
Abstract
We consider properties of the measurement intensity of a random variable for which the probability density function represented by the corresponding Wigner function attains negative values on a part of the domain. We consider a simple economic interpretation of this problem. This model is used to present the applicability of the method to the analysis of the negative probability on markets where there are anomalies in the law of supply and demand (e.g. Giffen's goods). It turns out that the new conditions to optimize the intensity require a new strategy. We propose a strategy (so-called rebours strategy) based on the fixed point method and explore its effectiveness.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Economic theories and models
