Decoding the International System
Ingo Piepers

TL;DR
This paper analyzes the development of the International System, highlighting how systemic wars lead to organizational innovations, social expansion, and a finite-time singularity characterized by accelerating cycles from 1495 to 1945.
Contribution
It introduces a model of the International System's evolution using log-periodic cycles and identifies a finite-time singularity in its development.
Findings
Identification of a finite-time singularity in 1495-1945
Four accelerating log-periodic cycles observed
Systemic wars drive organizational innovations
Abstract
The International System develops according to a clear logic: By means of systemic wars organisational innovations are periodically introduced, contributing to a process of social expansion and integration, and to wealth creation. A finite-time singularity accompanied by four accelerating log-periodic cycles can be identified during the time frame 1495-1945.
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Taxonomy
TopicsGlobal Political and Social Dynamics · Economic Development and Digital Transformation · International Relations and Foreign Policy
