Solar activity around AD 775 from aurorae and radiocarbon

TL;DR

This study critically reviews historical aurora reports from AD 731-825, analyzing their connection to solar activity and radiocarbon variations around AD 775, and concludes that aurorae do not directly indicate solar super-flares responsible for the 14 C increase.

Contribution

The paper provides a detailed reassessment of aurora reports and their relation to solar activity around AD 775, challenging previous assumptions about solar super-flares causing the 14 C anomaly.

Findings

Identified 39 likely true aurorae from AD 731-825.

Aurorae observed in the early 770s suggest strong solar storms but not super-flares.

No direct link found between aurorae and the AD 775 14 C increase.

Abstract

A large variation in 14 C around AD 775 has been considered to be caused by one or more solar super-flares within one year. We critically review all known aurora reports from Europe as well as the Near, Middle, and Far East from AD 731 to 825 and find 39 likely true aurorae plus four more potential aurorae and 24 other reports about halos, meteors, thunderstorms etc., which were previously misinterpreted as aurorae or misdated; we assign probabilities for all events according to five aurora criteria. We find very likely true aurorae in AD 743, 745, 762, 765, 772, 773, 793, 796, 807, and 817. There were two aurorae in the early 770s observed near Amida (now Diyarbakir in Turkey near the Turkish-Syrian border), which were not only red, but also green-yellow - being at a relatively low geo-magnetic latidude, they indicate a relatively strong solar storm. However, it cannot be argued that those aurorae (geo-magnetical latitude 43 to 50 deg, considering five different reconstructions of the geo-magnetic pole) could be connected to one or more solar super-flares causing the 14 C increase around AD 775: There are several reports about low- to mid-latitude aurorae at 32 to 44 deg geo-magnetical latitude in China and Iraq; some of them were likely observed (quasi-)simultaneously in two of three areas (Europe, Byzantium/Arabia, East Asia), one lasted several nights, and some indicate a particulary strong geo-magnetic storm (red colour and dynamics), namely in AD 745, 762, 793, 807, and 817 - always without 14 C peaks. We use 39 likely true aurorae as well as historic reports about sunspots together with the radiocarbon content from tree rings to reconstruct solar activity: From about AD 733 to 823, we see at least nine Schwabe cycles ...