On the luminosity distance and the epoch of acceleration

TL;DR

This paper investigates whether supernova luminosity distances can directly evidence the Universe's transition from deceleration to acceleration, highlighting the limitations of current methods and proposing improved analysis techniques.

Contribution

The study clarifies that the observed supernova distance residual turnover does not necessarily indicate acceleration transition and suggests better plotting methods and the complementary use of BAO data.

Findings

Turnover in SN residuals is due to curvature, not acceleration.

Plotting residuals against a flat, non-accelerating model clarifies interpretation.

BAO measurements are more effective for constraining the transition redshift.

Abstract

Standard cosmological models based on general relativity (GR) with dark energy predict that the Universe underwent a transition from decelerating to accelerating expansion at a moderate redshift $z_{acc} \sim 0.7$. Clearly, it is of great interest to directly measure this transition in a model-independent way, without the assumption that GR is the correct theory of gravity. We explore to what extent supernova (SN) luminosity distance measurements provide evidence for such a transition: we show that, contrary to intuition, the well-known "turnover" in the SN distance residuals $\Delta\mu$ relative to an empty (Milne) model does not give firm evidence for such a transition within the redshift range spanned by SN data. The observed turnover in that diagram is predominantly due to the negative curvature in the Milne model, {\em not} the deceleration predicted by $\Lambda$CDM and relatives. We show that there are several advantages in plotting distance residuals against a flat, non-accelerating model $(w = -1/3)$, and also remapping the $z-$axis to $u = \ln(1+z)$; we outline a number of useful and intuitive properties of this presentation. We conclude that there are significant complementarities between SNe and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAOs): SNe offer high precision at low redshifts and give good constraints on the net {\em amount} of acceleration since $z \sim 0.7$, but are weak at constraining $z_{acc}$; while radial BAO measurements are probably superior for placing direct constraints on $z_{acc}$.