Uncertainties in polarimetric 3D reconstructions of coronal mass ejections

TL;DR

This study quantifies uncertainties in 3D CME reconstructions using polarization ratio techniques, revealing positional biases depending on CME location relative to the plane of the sky, with implications for future space weather monitoring.

Contribution

It introduces a detailed analysis of the polarization ratio method's uncertainties for CME 3D localization, considering different density profiles and CME positions.

Findings

Overestimation of CME position near the POS for limb CMEs

Underestimation of CME position far from the POS for halo CMEs

Optimal accuracy at approximately 20° from the POS

Abstract

This work is aimed at quantifying the uncertainties in the 3D reconstruction of the location of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) obtained with the polarization ratio technique. The method takes advantage of the different distributions along the line of sight (LOS) of total (tB) and polarized (pB) brightnesses to estimate the average location of the emitting plasma. To this end, we assumed two simple electron density distributions along the LOS (a constant density and Gaussian density profiles) for a plasma blob and synthesized the expected tB and pB for different distances $z$ of the blob from the plane of the sky (POS) and different projected altitudes $\rho$. Reconstructed locations of the blob along the LOS were thus compared with the real ones, allowing a precise determination of uncertainties in the method. Independently of the analytical density profile, when the blob is centered at a small distance from the POS (i.e. for limb CMEs) the distance from the POS starts to be significantly overestimated. Polarization ratio technique provides the LOS position of the center of mass of what we call folded density distribution, given by reflecting and summing in front of the POS the fraction of density profile located behind that plane. On the other hand, when the blob is far from the POS, but with very small projected altitudes (i.e. for halo CMEs, $\rho < 1.4$ R$_\odot$), the inferred distance from that plane is significantly underestimated. Better determination of the real blob position along the LOS is given for intermediate locations, and in particular when the blob is centered at an angle of $20^\circ$ from the POS. These result have important consequences not only for future 3D reconstruction of CMEs with polarization ratio technique, but also for the design of future coronagraphs aimed at providing a continuous monitoring of halo-CMEs for space weather prediction purposes.