Emergence of non-zonal coherent structures
Nikolaos A. Bakas, Petros J. Ioannou

TL;DR
This paper investigates how large-scale coherent structures like jets and vortices emerge in planetary turbulence, using a barotropic beta-plane model and a statistical theory called S3T to analyze their formation, stability, and characteristics.
Contribution
It introduces a statistical framework (S3T) to analytically predict the emergence and properties of non-zonal and zonal structures in turbulent flows, validated by nonlinear simulations.
Findings
Non-zonal structures emerge before zonal jets as energy input increases.
Analytic bifurcation points for structure formation are derived.
Numerical simulations confirm the predicted scale, amplitude, and phase speed of structures.
Abstract
Planetary turbulence is observed to self-organize into large-scale structures such as zonal jets and coherent vortices. One of the simplest models that retains the relevant dynamics of turbulent self-organization is a barotropic flow in a beta-plane channel with turbulence sustained by random stirring. Non-linear integrations of this model show that as the energy input rate of the forcing is increased, the homogeneity of the flow is first broken by the emergence of non-zonal, coherent, westward propagating structures and at larger energy input rates by the emergence of zonal jets. The emergence of both non-zonal coherent structures and zonal jets is studied using a statistical theory, Stochastic Structural Stability Theory (S3T). S3T directly models a second-order approximation to the statistical mean turbulent state and allows the identification of statistical turbulent equilibria and…
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