Towards a formalization of a two traders market with information exchange

TL;DR

This paper models a two-trader financial market using quantum operators and Hamiltonians, revealing how information exchange influences trading dynamics and portfolio evolution, with implications for understanding 'good' and 'bad' information effects.

Contribution

It introduces a quantum-inspired formalization of a two-trader market with information exchange, highlighting the role of initial information loss and differentiating types of information.

Findings

Portfolio dynamics are primarily influenced by initial information loss.

Zero information Hamiltonian implies portfolios commute with the Hamiltonian.

Introduction of 'good' and 'bad' information models external influences.

Abstract

This paper shows that Hamiltonians and operators can also be put to good use even in contexts which are not purely physics based. Consider the world of finance. The work presented here {models a two traders system with information exchange with the help of four fundamental operators: cash and share operators; a portfolio operator and an operator reflecting the loss of information. An information Hamiltonian is considered and an additional Hamiltonian is presented which reflects the dynamics of selling/buying shares between traders. An important result of the paper is that when the information Hamiltonian is zero, portfolio operators commute with the Hamiltonian and this suggests that the dynamics are really due to the information. Under the assumption that the interaction and information terms in the Hamiltonian have similar strength, a perturbation scheme is considered on the interaction parameter. Contrary to intuition, the paper shows that up to a second order in the interaction parameter, a key factor in the computation of the portfolios of traders will be the initial values of the loss of information (rather than the initial conditions on the cash and shares). Finally, the paper shows that a natural outcome from the inequality of the variation of the portfolio of trader one versus the variation of the portfolio of trader two, begs for the introduction of `good' and `bad' information. It is shown that `good' information is related to the reservoirs (where an infinite set of bosonic operators are used) which model rumors/news and external facts, whilst `bad' information is associated with a set of two modes bosonic operators.