From a systems theory of sociology to modeling the onset and evolution of criminality

TL;DR

This paper introduces a systems theory framework using generalized kinetic theory and stochastic game theory to model the complex onset and evolution of criminality within social systems.

Contribution

It presents a novel approach combining systems theory, kinetic modeling, and game theory to understand criminal behavior dynamics.

Findings

Captures the heterogeneity of individual strategies

Models the influence of social interactions on criminality

Provides a foundation for future predictive modeling

Abstract

This paper proposes a systems theory approach to the modeling of onset and evolution of criminality in a territory, which aims at capturing the complexity features of social systems. Complexity is related to the fact that individuals have the ability to develop specific heterogeneously distributed strategies, which depend also on those expressed by the other individuals. The modeling is developed by methods of generalized kinetic theory where interactions and decisional processes are modeled by theoretical tools of stochastic game theory.