Regularities in the dynamics and development of the International System

TL;DR

This paper identifies a finite-time singularity with log-periodic oscillations in the historical development of the International System from 1495 to 1945, revealing underlying regularities driven by connectivity growth.

Contribution

It uncovers a finite-time singularity and consistent regularities in the International System's dynamics, offering a new perspective on its development and war patterns.

Findings

Finite-time singularity with log-periodic oscillations identified

Regularities linked to connectivity growth in the system

Decoding of war dynamics and development patterns

Abstract

A finite-time singularity accompanied by log-periodic oscillations shaped the war dynamics and development of the International System during the period 1495 - 1945. The identification of this singularity provides us with a perspective to penetrate and decode the dynamics of the International System. Various regularities in the dynamics of the International System can be identified. These regularities are remarkably consistent, and can be attributed to the connectivity and the growth of connectivity of the International System.