BlackSeaHazNet Scientific Report - EU FP7 IRSES project 2011-2014

TL;DR

This project developed a multidisciplinary team to explore earthquake forecasting, demonstrating the potential of geomagnetic monitoring and water level analysis as regional earthquake precursors, and investigating climate-seismic correlations.

Contribution

It introduced the geomagnetic quake approach for earthquake prediction and provided evidence supporting regional seismic forecasting methods based on geomagnetic and water level data.

Findings

Geomagnetic monitoring can predict regional seismic activity.

Water level variations serve as reliable earthquake precursors.

Evidence supports climate change and seismic activity correlations.

Abstract

The aims of the project 2011-2014) are in the project title- Complex Research of Earthquakes Forecasting Possibilities, Seismic and Climate Change Correlations- to create a team for researching the above mentioned problem. In the Project participated 76 scientists from 16 Institutes and 8 countries- Armenia, Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Macedonia, Slovenia, Turkey and Ukraine. The main results are shortly listed in the next. Creating a group which is able to fulfill a Complex Research of Earthquakes Forecasting Possibilities; The main result is statistical prove of imminent forecasting possibility for seismic regional activity on the basis of the geomagnetic monitoring in the framework of special created data acquisition system for earthquakes archiving, visualization and analysis (geomagnetic quake approach). Illustrated with the data from INTERMAGNET stations- PAG (Panagurichte, Bulgaria), SUA (Surlari, Romania), GCK (Grocka, Serbia) and LAquila (AQU, Italy) for the last 5-8 years; The application of the geomagnetic quake approach for analysis of boreholes water level demonstrated that the water level variation is also a reliable imminent regional earthquakes precursor; It was formulated and researched the hypothesis for reality of Climate change Seismic correlation and axion- geo -nuclear -reactors existence; The research of deep Earth crust structure and upper mantle study using the inverse problem analysis of the Earth electromagnetic radiation in radio diapason, measured with Astrogon device was performed in Greece and Bulgaria; The members of Project participated many International Conferences, Congresses and Workshops with presentations and published many 97 papers.