Prospects for Characterizing Host Stars of the Planetary System Detections Predicted for the Korean Microlensing Telescope Network

TL;DR

This paper evaluates methods to measure the flux of host stars in planetary microlensing events, using simulations of current and future telescopes, to improve understanding of exoplanet host properties.

Contribution

It introduces a comprehensive simulation framework to assess the feasibility of constraining lens flux with various observational strategies and telescopes.

Findings

Lens flux can be measured with high precision for over 60% of events using GMTIFS.

JWST can achieve similar measurements for about 28% of events after 10 years.

Undetected blend stars can cause significant errors in mass estimates, especially for low-mass hosts.

Abstract

I investigate the possibility of constraining the flux of the lens (i.e., host star) for the types of planetary systems the Korean Microlensing Telescope Network is predicted to find. I examine the potential to obtain lens flux measurements by 1) imaging a lens once it is spatially resolved from the source, 2) measuring the elongation of the point spread function of the microlensing target (lens+source) when the lens and source are still unresolved, and 3) taking prompt follow-up photometry. In each case I simulate observing programs for a representative example of current ground-based adaptive optics (AO) facilities (specifically NACO on VLT), future ground-based AO facilities (GMTIFS on GMT), and future space telescopes (NIRCAM on $JWST$). Given the predicted distribution of relative lens-source proper motions, I find that the lens flux could be measured to a precision of $\sigma_{H_{\ell}} \leq 0.1$ for $\gtrsim$60$\%$ of planet detections $\geq$5 years after each microlensing event, for a simulated observing program using GMT that images resolved lenses. NIRCAM on $JWST$ would be able to carry out equivalently high-precision measurements for $\sim$28$\%$ of events $\Delta t$ = 10 years after each event by imaging resolved lenses. I also explore the effects various blend components would have on the mass derived from prompt follow-up photometry, including companions to the lens, companions to the source, and unassociated interloping stars. I find that undetected blend stars would cause catastrophic failures (i.e., $>$50$\%$ fractional uncertainty in the inferred lens mass) for $\lesssim$(16$\cdot f_{\rm bin})\%$ of planet detections, where $f_{\rm bin}$ is the binary fraction, with the majority of these failures occurring for host stars with mass $\lesssim$0.3$M_{\odot}$.