A train track directed random walk on $Out(F_r)$
Ilya Kapovich, Catherine Pfaff

TL;DR
This paper introduces a new 'train-track directed' random walk on Out(F_r) and shows that, with positive probability, elements obtained are fully irreducible with specific geometric and combinatorial properties, extending understanding of random elements in Out(F_r).
Contribution
The paper constructs a natural new random walk on Out(F_r) and demonstrates that it produces elements with detailed geometric and combinatorial properties with positive probability.
Findings
Elements are fully irreducible with positive probability.
Elements have a train-track representative with no periodic Nielsen paths.
The axis bundle of these elements in Outer space is a single axis.
Abstract
Several known results, by Rivin, Calegari-Maher and Sisto, show that an element , obtained after steps of a simple random walk on , is fully irreducible with probability tending to 1 as . In this paper we construct a natural "train-track directed" random walk on (where ). We show that, for the element , obtained after steps of this random walk, with asymptotically positive probability the element has the following properties: is an ageometric fully irreducible, which admits a train-track representative with no periodic Nielsen paths and exactly one nondegenerate illegal turn, that has "rotationless index" (so that the geometric index of the attracting tree of is ), has index list and the ideal…
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