Dengue in Madeira Island
Helena Sofia Rodrigues, M. Teresa T. Monteiro, Delfim F. M. Torres,, Ana Clara Silva, Carla Sousa, Cl\'audia Concei\c{c}\~ao
TL;DR
This paper presents a compartmental model for dengue transmission based on data from Madeira Island's 2012 outbreak, aiming to simulate the effects of control measures on disease spread.
Contribution
It introduces a new transmission model tailored to Madeira's outbreak, enabling simulation of control strategies' impacts on dengue spread.
Findings
Model accurately simulates Madeira's 2012 outbreak
Control measures significantly reduce disease transmission
Provides a tool for planning public health interventions
Abstract
Dengue is a vector-borne disease and 40% of world population is at risk. Dengue transcends international borders and can be found in tropical and subtropical regions around the world, predominantly in urban and semi-urban areas. A model for dengue disease transmission, composed by mutually-exclusive compartments representing the human and vector dynamics, is presented in this study. The data is from Madeira, a Portuguese island, where an unprecedented outbreak was detected on October 2012. The aim of this work is to simulate the repercussions of the control measures in the fight of the disease.
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