Testing the planetary models of HU Aquarii
M. Bours (Warwick), T. Marsh (Warwick), E. Breedt (Warwick), C., Copperwheat (LMJU), V. Dhillon (Sheffield), A. Leckngam (NARIT), S., Littlefair (Sheffield), S. Parsons (Valparaiso), A. Prasit (NARIT)

TL;DR
New eclipse observations of HU Aqr show that planetary models with up to three planets cannot explain the observed orbital period variations, which are too large and unstable, leaving the cause of these variations unknown.
Contribution
The study provides conclusive evidence against planetary models for HU Aqr's orbital variations and demonstrates the stability of mid-egress times across wavelengths.
Findings
Single-planet models are ruled out due to early eclipses.
Orbital instability invalidates multi-planet explanations.
Eclipse timing variations are too large for known mechanisms.
Abstract
We present new eclipse observations of the polar (i.e. semi-detached magnetic white dwarf + M-dwarf binary) HU Aqr, and mid-egress times for each eclipse, which continue to be observed increasingly early. Recent eclipses occurred more than 70 seconds earlier than the prediction from the latest model that invoked a single circumbinary planet to explain the observed orbital period variations, thereby conclusively proving this model to be incorrect. Using ULTRACAM data, we show that mid-egress times determined for simultaneous data taken at different wavelengths agree with each other. The large variations in the observed eclipse times cannot be explained by planetary models containing up to three planets, because of poor fits to the data as well as orbital instability on short time scales. The peak-to-peak amplitude of the O-C diagram of almost 140 seconds is also too great to be caused by…
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