Probabilistic Galois Theory over $P$-adic Fields
Benjamin L. Weiss

TL;DR
This paper investigates the probability distributions of polynomial factorizations and Galois groups over $p$-adic fields, revealing that most Galois groups tend to be cyclic as the residue field size grows.
Contribution
It provides new probabilistic estimates for polynomial factorizations and Galois groups over $p$-adic fields, including exact formulas for small degrees.
Findings
Most Galois groups are cyclic as $q o fty$
Probability of cyclic Galois group is at least $1 - 1/q$
Exact formulas obtained for degrees 2 and 3 when $p > n$
Abstract
We estimate several probability distributions arising from the study of random, monic polynomials of degree with coefficients in the integers of a general -adic field having residue field with elements. We estimate the distribution of the degrees of irreducible factors of the polynomials, with tight error bounds valid when . We also estimate the distribution of Galois groups of such polynomials, showing that for fixed , almost all Galois groups are cyclic in the limit . In particular, we show that the Galois groups are cyclic with probability at least . We obtain exact formulas in the case of for all when and .
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