One-level limit order book models with memory and variable spread
Jonathan A. Ch\'avez-Casillas, Jos\'e E. Figueroa-L\'opez

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel level I limit order book model that accounts for order memory and variable spreads, providing a diffusion approximation for mid-price dynamics and a practical simulation method.
Contribution
The paper presents a new LOB model with memory and spread variability, along with a diffusion approximation and a feasible computational approach for key quantities.
Findings
Diffusion approximation accurately models mid-price movements.
Efficient simulation scheme for price dynamics.
Quantitative assessment of approximation accuracy.
Abstract
We propose a new model for the level I of a Limit Order Book (LOB), which incorporates the information about the standing orders at the opposite side of the book after each price change and the arrivals of new orders within the spread. Our main result gives a diffusion approximation for the mid-price process. To illustrate the applicability of the considered framework, we also propose a feasible method to compute several quantities of interest}, such as the distribution of the time span between price changes and the probability of consecutive price increments conditioned on the current state of the book. The proposed method is used to develop an efficient simulation scheme for the price dynamics, which is then applied to assess numerically the accuracy of the diffusion approximation.
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Taxonomy
TopicsComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Stochastic processes and financial applications · Economic theories and models
