Rare event simulation in immune biology: Models of negative selection in T-cell maturation
Corinna Ernst, Ellen Baake

TL;DR
This paper introduces a probabilistic model of T-cell maturation incorporating negative selection and tissue-specific antigen expression, using simulation techniques to analyze how negative selection affects T-cell activation probabilities.
Contribution
It extends existing T-cell models by including negative selection and tissue-restricted antigen presentation, providing new insights into immune tolerance mechanisms.
Findings
Negative selection truncates stimulation rate distributions.
Reduced self-background increases T-cell activation probability.
Model captures effects of different thymic antigen presentation modes.
Abstract
We present a probabilistic T-cell model that includes negative selection and takes contrasting models of tissue-restricted antigen (TRA) expression in the thymus into account. We start from the basic model of van den Berg, Rand, and Burroughs (2001) and include negative selection via individual-based T-cell modelling, in which each T-cell is defined by its stimulation rates to all relevant self antigens. We present a simulation approach based on partial tilting of the stimulation rates recognized by a single T-cell. We investigate the effects of negative selection for diverging modes of thymic antigen presentation, namely arbitrary TRA presentation, and more or less strict emulation of tissue-specific cell lines. We observe that negative selection leads to truncation of the tail of the distribution of the stimulation rates mature T-cells receive from self antigens, i.e., the self…
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