New Pricing Framework: Options and Bonds

TL;DR

This paper introduces a unified analytical framework using shot noise processes to develop new models for option and bond pricing, connecting them to classical models like Black-Scholes and Vasicek.

Contribution

It presents two exactly solvable models for options and bonds based on shot noise dynamics, extending classical models with new analytical solutions and Greeks.

Findings

Developed a shot noise-based option pricing model that generalizes Black-Scholes.

Created a bond pricing formula that generalizes Vasicek.

Uncovered the stochastic origins of volatility and mean reversion in classical models.

Abstract

A unified analytical pricing framework with involvement of the shot noise random process has been introduced and elaborated. Two exactly solvable new models have been developed. The first model has been designed to value options. It is assumed that asset price stochastic dynamics follows a Geometric Shot Noise motion. A new arbitrage-free integro-differential option pricing equation has been found and solved. The put-call parity has been proved and the Greeks have been calculated. Three additional new Greeks associated with market model parameters have been introduced and evaluated. It has been shown that in diffusion approximation the developed option pricing model incorporates the well-known Black-Scholes equation and its solution. The stochastic dynamic origin of the Black-Scholes volatility has been uncovered. The new option pricing model has been generalized based on asset price dynamics modeled by the superposition of Geometric Brownian motion and Geometric Shot Noise. To model stochastic dynamics of a short term interest rate, the second model has been introduced and developed based on Langevin type equation with shot noise. A new bond pricing formula has been obtained. It has been shown that in diffusion approximation the developed bond pricing formula goes into the well-known Vasicek solution. The stochastic dynamic origin of the long-term mean and instantaneous volatility of the Vasicek model has been uncovered. A generalized bond pricing model has been introduced and developed based on short term interest rate stochastic dynamics modeled by superposition of a standard Wiener process and shot noise. Despite the non-Gaussianity of probability distributions involved, all newly elaborated models have the same degree of analytical tractability as the Black-Scholes model and the Vasicek model.