S3T stability of the homogeneous state of barotropic beta-plane turbulence
Nikolaos A. Bakas, Navid C. Constantinou, Petros J. Ioannou

TL;DR
This paper investigates the stability of homogeneous states in barotropic beta-plane turbulence using S3T, revealing how different large-scale structures form depending on planetary vorticity gradient and linking modulational instability to S3T predictions.
Contribution
It provides a detailed analysis of the S3T statistical instability mechanisms for both zonal and non-zonal flows across varying beta values, connecting these to modulational instability.
Findings
Zonal jets and non-zonal structures form from eddy shearing at low beta.
Large beta reduces vorticity fluxes that destabilize the homogeneous state.
Modulational instability results are encompassed within the S3T framework.
Abstract
Zonal jets and non-zonal large-scale flows are often present in forced-dissipative barotropic turbulence on a beta-plane. The dynamics underlying the formation of both zonal and non-zonal coherent structures is investigated in this work within the statistical framework of Stochastic Structural Stability Theory (S3T). Previous S3T studies have shown that the homogeneous turbulent state undergoes a bifurcation at a critical parameter and becomes inhomogeneous with the emergence of zonal and/or large-scale non-zonal flows and that these statistical predictions of S3T are reflected in direct numerical simulations. In this paper, we study the dynamics underlying the S3T statistical instability of the homogeneous state as a function of parameters. It is shown that for weak planetary vorticity gradient, , both zonal jets and non-zonal large-scale structures form from upgradient momentum…
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