The Natural Science Underlying Big History
Eric J. Chaisson

TL;DR
This paper presents a scientific framework for understanding cosmic evolution and complexity across 14 billion years, emphasizing energy rate density as a key metric for measuring system complexity.
Contribution
It introduces a natural science basis for big history, unifying diverse systems through empirical models and energy metrics without requiring new scientific theories.
Findings
Energy rate density effectively measures complexity across systems.
Cosmic evolution can be described using non-equilibrium thermodynamics.
A simple underlying principle explains the emergence of complexity.
Abstract
Nature's many varied complex systems (including galaxies, stars, planets, life, and society) are islands of order within the increasingly disordered universe. All organized systems are subject to physical, biological or cultural evolution, which together comprise the grander interdisciplinary subject of cosmic evolution. This is global history greatly extended, big history with a scientific basis, and natural history broadly portrayed across 14 billion years of time. Such evolution writ large has significant potential to unify the natural sciences into a holistic understanding of who we are and whence we came. No new science (beyond frontier, non-equilibrium thermodynamics) is needed to describe cosmic evolution's major milestones at a deep and empirical level. Quantitative models and experimental tests imply that a remarkable simplicity underlies the emergence and growth of complexity…
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